Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
Consensus
AZ
SD
Total
Opening
+102
-120
7.5 (-110)
Before the first pitch
+102
-120
7.5 (-110)
The price barely moved all day.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Petco Park ·
PF -6.0%WX +0.3%
AZ+102
47.3% win
(+111)
3.76EXP RUNS3.84
o4.5 33%o4.5 34%
Expected total 7.61
7.5 (-110/-110)
Projected
SD-120
52.7% win
(-111)
No edge MLUnder 7.5 +1.0%
ERA · FIP · K-BB
TBD
W. Buehler (R)
— · — · —
4.56C · 4.44D · 11.4%C
BP3.55 4.1 IP
OF97vs RHP
BP3.02 1 start
OF—vs ?HP
AZ
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
A-
C
C
C+
B-
Bullpen
IP in 48 h4.1
2 consecutive days: none
SD
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
B-
C
C+
A-
C+
Starter
Walker Buehler (9-6) · RHP
ERA4.56C
3-year FIPhis underlying quality5.15
K-BB%11.4%C
Last 5 starts
vs MIA6.2 IP · 3 ER · 6 K
vs COL4.2 IP · 2 ER · 1 K
vs WSH2.1 IP · 2 ER · 4 K
vs NYY5.0 IP · 1 ER · 6 K
vs TB5.0 IP · 3 ER · 3 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h9.1
2 straight days: Jason Adam
The analysis
The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.