NYM at WSH

What the Market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Nationals Park · 11:35 AM

PF +4.0%WX -6.5%

NYM-134

48.2% win

(+107)

4.55EXP
RUNS 4.55

o4.5 43%o4.5 43%

Expected total 9.09

8.5 (-102/-118)

Projected

WSH+113

51.8% win

(-107)

WSH ML +4.9%Over 8.5 +0.3%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

J. Tong (R)

C. Early (L)

4.21C · 4.06 · 10.5%C-

3.44B · 4.52C+ · 15.1%B-

BP4.79 8.4 IP

OF96 vs LHP

BP4.53 4.1 IP

OF102 vs RHP

Details ▾

NYM

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C	C	C	D	C

Starter

Jonah Tong (2-2) · RHP

ERA4.21C

3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.97

K-BB%10.5%C-

Last 5 starts

vs PHI4.2 IP · 4 ER · 5 K

vs BAL6.0 IP · 0 ER · 6 K

vs MIA5.0 IP · 4 ER · 7 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h8.4

2 consecutive days: none

WSH

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C+	A	C	A	C

Starter

Connelly Early (7-5) · LHP

ERA3.44B

3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.05

K-BB%15.1%B-

Last 5 starts

vs WSH4.0 IP · 0 ER · 5 K

vs NYY6.0 IP · 2 ER · 9 K

vs SEA6.0 IP · 1 ER · 7 K

vs TEX4.2 IP · 6 ER · 3 K

vs TB4.2 IP · 2 ER · 6 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h4.1

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis