Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
Consensus
PHI
TB
Total
Opening
-107
-111
7 (-105)
Before the first pitch
-107
-111
7 (-105)
The price barely moved all day.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Citizens Bank Park ·
PF +4.0%WX -11.4%
TB-111
45.7% win
(+119)
3.51EXP RUNS3.71
o4.5 30%o4.5 32%
Expected total 7.22
7.0 (-105/-115)
Projected
PHI-107
54.3% win
(-119)
PHI ML +2.6%No total edge
ERA · FIP · K-BB
G. Jax(R)
TBD
3.62B · 3.94A · 17.8%B
— · — · —
BP3.79 5.5 IP
OF—vs ?HP
BP3.81 1 start
OF97vs RHP
TB
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
A
D
C-
B-
A
Starter
Griffin Jax(8-10) · RHP
ERA3.62B
3-year FIPhis underlying quality2.92
K-BB%17.8%B
Last 5 starts
vs BOS5.0 IP · 0 ER · 5 K
vs ATH5.0 IP · 0 ER · 7 K
vs ATL5.0 IP · 1 ER · 2 K
vs NYM2.2 IP · 6 ER · 1 K
vs CWS5.0 IP · 1 ER · 8 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h5.5
2 consecutive days: none
PHI
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
C
C
C
B
F
Bullpen
IP in 48 h4.3
2 days tracked: Tim Mayza
The analysis
The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.