TEX at MIN

What the Market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Target Field · 3:10 PM

PF +6.0%WX -9.5%

TEX-125

46.8% win

(+114)

4.27EXP
RUNS 4.4

o4.5 40%o4.5 41%

Expected total 8.67

8.0 (-105/-115)

Projected

MIN+107

53.2% win

(-114)

MIN ML +4.9%Over 8 +0.4%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

N. Eovaldi(R)

B. Ober(R)

4.27C · 4.26B · 18.2%B

4.21C · 4.48C · 10.3%C-

BP3.56 8.0 IP

OF95 vs RHP

BP3.8 3.0 IP

OF102 vs RHP

Details ▾

TEX

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C-	C-	C	C-	C

Starter

Nathan Eovaldi(11-10) · RHP

ERA4.27C

3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.63

K-BB%18.2%B

Last 5 starts

vs BAL5.1 IP · 1 ER · 2 K

vs HOU5.0 IP · 6 ER · 5 K

vs SEA7.0 IP · 1 ER · 8 K

vs ATL4.0 IP · 4 ER · 2 K

vs LAA6.0 IP · 3 ER · 10 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h8.0

2 consecutive days: none

MIN

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B-	C+	D	D	C-

Starter

Bailey Ober(7-6) · RHP

ERA4.21C

3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.38

K-BB%10.3%C-

Last 5 starts

vs NYY5.1 IP · 3 ER · 3 K

vs CWS4.1 IP · 1 ER · 6 K

vs CWS5.0 IP · 1 ER · 5 K

vs SD5.0 IP · 1 ER · 3 K

vs ATL4.1 IP · 2 ER · 4 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h3.0

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis