Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
Consensus
BOS
CLE
Total
Opening
-139
+120
7 (-101)
Before the first pitch
-130
+110
6.5 (-116)
The total dropped 0.5 run. CLE rose 10 points.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Fenway Park ·
PF +6.0%WX -7.0%UMPWolcott -0.9%
CLE+110
42.7% win
(+134)
3.63EXP RUNS4.1
o4.5 31%o4.5 37%
Expected total 7.73
6.5 (-116/-102)
Confirmed
BOS-130
57.3% win
(-134)
BOS ML +0.8%Over 6.5 +2.6%
ERA · FIP · K-BB
D. Espino (R)
R. Suarez (L)
4.73 · 4.24 · —
3.27B+ · 3.4A- · 15.2%B-
BP3.48 1 start
OF94vs LHP
BP3.33 6.1 IP
OF99vs RHP
CLE
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
B
F
B
A
C-
Starter
Daniel Espino (0-0) · RHP
ERA4.73
Last 5 starts
vs ATH1.0 IP · 3 ER · 1 K
vs MIN2.0 IP · 0 ER · 2 K
Lineup · OPS
1 S. Kwan CF · L.725
2 J. Ramírez 3B · S.694
3 C. DeLauter RF · L.819
4 J. Adell DH · R.694
5 A. Martínez LF · S.761
6 D. Fry 1B · R.661
7 T. Bazzana 2B · L.741
8 P. Bailey C · S.592
9 B. Rocchio SS · S.690
Bullpen
IP in 48 h4.6
2 days in a row: Tim Herrin
BOS
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
B-
C-
C-
C-
C-
Starter
Ranger Suarez (8-4) · LHP
ERA3.27B+
3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.16
K-BB%15.2%B-
Last 5 starts
vs TB5.2 IP · 1 ER · 5 K
vs KC7.0 IP · 1 ER · 8 K
vs BAL7.0 IP · 0 ER · 3 K
vs NYY5.1 IP · 6 ER · 2 K
vs MIA5.0 IP · 1 ER · 4 K
Lineup · OPS
1 N. Sogard 1B · S.740
2 M. Gasper DH · S.840
3 A. Rutschman C · S.734
4 W. Abreu RF · L.786
5 C. Durbin 3B · R.720
6 C. Rafaela CF · R.763
7 J. Duran LF · L.629
8 T. Story SS · R.635
9 I. Kiner-Falefa 2B · R.632
Bullpen
IP in 48 h6.1
2 consecutive days: none
The analysis
The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.