Market
Today's odds and their movement
4
games
THE MONEY
Does following the money work?
Where the consensus has moved since the open, and whether that side ends up being right.
-13.0points
Still no sample: 87 of 150
won
41.4%
asked for
54.4%
Consensus moves since Sep 14: how much the side the line moved toward ended up winning, against what its price asked for. At 150 it turns green if it wins 3 points or more above, red if it falls 3 short, and if not, it stays that way.
Today the consensus hasn't moved 1.5 points in any game.
The biggest move in each game, by hour▾
No 1.5-point moves yet.
GAMES
Each game, market by market
The consensus price in each market and how much it has moved since the open; when it ends, which side was right. By game time.
PHI3@5ATL
Final
| Close | | | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML | +158 | -192 | ||
| F5 | +239 | ▲1.0 | -113 | ▼1.5 |
| RL | +1.5-143 | ▼0.7 | -1.5+118 | ▲0.7 |
| TT | o2.5-115 | ▲1.0 | o3.5-113 | |
| O/U 6.5 | O-121 | U+100 | ||
| Today the price comes from a single source, not from consensus: the movement is not compared. | ||||
Trends▾
| EQ | ÚLT10 | RCH | O8.5 | ANO | REC | HOME | AWAY | NRFI | F5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | G1 | 6/10 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 43-38 | 45-36 | 46% | 50% |
| 5-5 | P1 | 4/10 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 52-30 | 42-39 | 51% | 50% |
Series: PHI 4-9, averaging 8.4 runs · Against starter handedness: PHI 16-11 vs lefties · ATL 16-11 vs left-handed
CWS@HOU
| Now | | | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML | +102 | ▲0.6 | -123 | ▼0.6 |
| F5 | +147 | ▲0.5 | +127 | ▼0.5 |
| RL | +1.5-194 | -1.5+159 | ||
| TT | o3.5-125 | ▲2.0 | o3.5-141 | ▲2.0 |
| O/U 8.5opened 8 | O-106 | U-114 | ||
| Today the price comes from a single source, not from consensus: the movement is not compared. | ||||
Trends▾
| EQ | ÚLT10 | RCH | O8.5 | ANO | REC | HOME | AWAY | NRFI | F5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | G1 | 6/10 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 48-33 | 36-45 | 44% | 54% |
| 5-5 | G2 | 6/10 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 39-42 | 42-39 | 47% | 56% |
Series: CWS 2-5, averaging 8.4 runs · Against starter handedness: CWS 30-31 vs righties · HOU 16-25 vs left-handed
BOS@NYY
| Now | | | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML | +116 | ▼1.4 | -140 | ▲1.4 |
| F5 | +190 | +125 | ▼2.0 | |
| RL | +1.5-194 | ▼1.3 | -1.5+159 | ▲1.3 |
| TT | o2.5-111 | ▼1.5 | o3.5+138 | ▼2.0 |
| O/U 6opened 6.5 | O-112 | U-107 | ||
| Today the price comes from a single source, not from consensus: the movement is not compared. | ||||
Trends▾
| EQ | ÚLT10 | RCH | O8.5 | ANO | REC | HOME | AWAY | NRFI | F5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | P1 | 0/10 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 41-40 | 46-35 | 49% | 48% |
| 5-5 | G1 | 7/10 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 46-34 | 47-34 | 52% | 41% |
Series: BOS 6-7, averaging 7.3 runs · Against the starter's handedness: BOS 29-29 vs right-handed · NYY 35-20 vs left-handed
CHC@SD
| Now | | | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML | +103 | ▲1.2 | -123 | ▼1.2 |
| F5 | +153 | ▲0.5 | +125 | ▲2.0 |
| RL | -1.5+172 | +1.5-210 | ||
| TT | o3.5+106 | ▲1.5 | o3.5-106 | ▲0.5 |
| O/U 7.5opened 7 | O-102 | U-118 | ||
| Today the price comes from a single source, not from consensus: the movement is not compared. | ||||
Trends▾
| EQ | ÚLT10 | RCH | O8.5 | ANO | REC | HOME | AWAY | NRFI | F5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | G1 | 4/10 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 46-35 | 43-38 | 53% | 55% |
| 8-2 | G2 | 7/10 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 51-30 | 40-41 | 59% | 46% |
Series: CHC 5-1, averaging 13.8 runs · Against the starter's handedness: CHC 33-27 vs right-handed · SD 20-21 vs left-handed
Glossary — what each stat means▾
How to read each game
The order — the visitor on the left and the home team on the right, in every row.
The bar — the probability the market consensus gives each team, with the commission already deducted, and its fair line. An odds that pays more than the fair line pays above the market.
ML · F5 · RL · TT · O/U — the winner; the winner of the first five innings (if they're tied, neither is satisfied); the run line, −1.5 the favorite and +1.5 the other; the runs for each team, with the most even price from the Market; and the game total. The consensus does not include F5 or TT: in those two rows the odds that exist in the Market appear.
The movement ▲▼ — next to each price, how many probability points that side has gained or lost since the opening. If the total line changed, it says so below («opened 8.5») and the price is not compared.
Best consensus price — the best price available before the game, among those that form the consensus.
At the end — the closing price and a green mark on the side that hit for each Market.
The money
A movement — when the consensus of a Market moves 1.5 puntos or more from the opening. It says where the money went, not who is going to win. From each game the largest is taken.
Does it pay to track it? — how often the side toward which the line moved hit, versus what its price indicated. With 150 movements it turns green if it wins 3 points or more above, red if it falls 3 short; in between, no clear edge. The system measures it each morning.
The circle — green, it hit; red, it didn't; gray, a tie with the line; empty, still in play.
The trends
ÚLT10 · RCH · O8.5 — the record in the last 10, the current streak, and how many of those 10 went over 8.5 runs.
ANO · REC — runs scored and allowed per game in their last 10.
HOME · AWAY — the season record at home and away.
NRFI · F5 — how often the first inning ends with no runs, and how many games went over 4.5 runs in the first five.
Where it all comes from
The statistics and the scores — from MLB, official.
The prices — the Market consensus: it is taken at 8:00 and updated before each game block.
Nothing estimated — if a data point is not available, a dash appears.