HOU at ATH
Sutter Health Park
FINAL HOU 7 — 5 ATH
What the market says
Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
| Consensus | ATH | HOU | Total |
|---|
| Opening | +138 | -160 | 11 (-116) |
| Before the first pitch | +144 | -169 | 10.5 (-115) |
The total dropped 0.5 runs.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Sutter Health Park ·
PF +16.4%WX +4.0%UMP Tumpane -0.8%

HOU-169
50.5% win
(-102)
5.82EXP
RUNS
5.53
o4.5 56%o4.5 54%
Expected total 11.35
10.5 (-115/-105)
Projected

ATH+144
49.5% win
(+102)
ATH ML +8.5%No total edge
ERA · FIP · K-BB
P. Lambert (R)
M. Barnett (R)
3.70B- · 3.94B- · 14.0%C+
7.16F · 5.58 · 6.8%D
BP3.94 2 starts
OF101 vs RHP
BP4.82 2 starts
OF100 vs RHP
HOUProfile
Starter
Peter Lambert (8-10) · RHP
ERA3.70B-
3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.92
K-BB%14.0%C+
Last 5 starts
vs ATL5.1 IP · 2 ER · 6 K
vs TB6.0 IP · 3 ER · 4 K
vs AZ7.0 IP · 3 ER · 6 K
vs CWS4.2 IP · 2 ER · 6 K
vs NYY5.2 IP · 2 ER · 5 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h13.2
2 straight days: AJ Blubaugh, Logan VanWey
ATHProfile
Starter
Mason Barnett (1-4) · RHP
ERA7.16F
3-year FIPhis underlying quality6.21
K-BB%6.8%D
Last 5 starts
vs CLE3.1 IP · 3 ER · 4 K
vs KC2.2 IP · 6 ER · 2 K
vs TB4.0 IP · 5 ER · 0 K
vs CIN4.1 IP · 5 ER · 7 K
vs BOS5.0 IP · 3 ER · 6 K
Lineup · OPS
1 H. Bolte CF · R.769
2 L. Butler RF · L.720
3 S. Langeliers DH · R.815
4 J. McNeil 1B · L.678
5 Z. Gelof 3B · R.789
6 D. Walton 2B · L.834
7 C. Cortes LF · L.727
8 A. Williams SS · R.735
9 J. Heim C · S.624
Bullpen
IP in 48 h10.5
2 straight days: Hogan Harris, Luis Medina
The analysis
No analysis was published for this game
Everything that gets published, right or wrong, stays in the Record.
See the Record