Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
Consensus
ATH
HOU
Total
Opening
+138
-160
11 (-116)
Before the first pitch
+144
-169
10.5 (-115)
The total dropped 0.5 run.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Sutter Health Park ·
PF +16.4%WX +4.0%UMP Tumpane -0.8%
HOU-169
50.5% win
(-102)
5.82EXP RUNS5.53
o4.5 56%o4.5 54%
Expected total 11.35
10.5 (-115/-105)
Projected
ATH+144
49.5% win
(+102)
ATH ML +8.5%No total edge
ERA · FIP · K-BB
P. Lambert (R)
M. Barnett (R)
3.70B- · 3.94B- · 14.0%C+
7.16F · 5.58 · 6.8%D
BP3.94 2 starts
OF101vs RHP
BP4.82 2 starts
OF100vs RHP
HOU
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
C
B+
C
F
B-
Starter
Peter Lambert (8-10) · RHP
ERA3.70B-
3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.92
K-BB%14.0%C+
Last 5 starts
vs ATL5.1 IP · 2 ER · 6 K
vs TB6.0 IP · 3 ER · 4 K
vs AZ7.0 IP · 3 ER · 6 K
vs CWS4.2 IP · 2 ER · 6 K
vs NYY5.2 IP · 2 ER · 5 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h13.2
2 straight days: AJ Blubaugh, Logan VanWey
ATH
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
C-
C+
C-
C-
F
Starter
Mason Barnett (1-4) · RHP
ERA7.16F
3-year FIPhis underlying quality6.21
K-BB%6.8%D
Last 5 starts
vs CLE3.1 IP · 3 ER · 4 K
vs KC2.2 IP · 6 ER · 2 K
vs TB4.0 IP · 5 ER · 0 K
vs CIN4.1 IP · 5 ER · 7 K
vs BOS5.0 IP · 3 ER · 6 K
Lineup · OPS
1 H. Bolte CF · R.769
2 L. Butler RF · L.720
3 S. Langeliers DH · R.815
4 J. McNeil 1B · L.678
5 Z. Gelof 3B · R.789
6 D. Walton 2B · L.834
7 C. Cortes LF · L.727
8 A. Williams SS · R.735
9 J. Heim C · S.624
Bullpen
IP in 48 h10.5
2 straight days: Hogan Harris, Luis Medina
The analysis
The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.