LAA at SEA

T-Mobile Park

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

T-Mobile Park · 8:40 PM

PF -15.0%WXClosedUMP Drake -2.5%

LAA+165

34.1% win

(+193)

3.02EXP
RUNS 4.17

o4.5 23%o4.5 38%

Expected total 7.19

7.0 (-111/-109)

Confirmed

SEA-196

65.9% win

(-193)

No ML edgeUnder 7 +0.7%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

G. Rodriguez (R)

B. Woo (R)

5.96D · 4.69C · 10.7%C

3.92C+ · 3.49B+ · 19.2%B+

BP4.52 3 games

OF93 vs RHP

BP4.36 2 starts

OF98 vs RHP

Details ▾

LAA

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
F	F	D	C	C

Starter

Grayson Rodriguez (4-8) · RHP

ERA5.96D

3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.3

K-BB%10.7%C

Last 5 starts

vs MIN6.2 IP · 3 ER · 4 K

vs WSH5.1 IP · 2 ER · 4 K

vs BOS4.0 IP · 5 ER · 3 K

vs NYY6.0 IP · 4 ER · 7 K

vs CLE5.2 IP · 1 ER · 4 K

Lineup · OPS

1 Z. Neto SS · R.758

2 M. Trout DH · R.815

3 W. Meckler LF · L.745

4 V. Grissom 1B · R.706

5 M. Ballesteros C · L.623

6 D. Guzman 3B · R.612

7 J. Lowe RF · L.631

8 C. Moore 2B · R.469

9 B. Teodosio CF · R.490

Bullpen

IP in 48 h4.1

2 consecutive days: Blake Weiman, Luke Murphy, Tayler Saucedo

SEA

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C-	C-	C+	C-	D

Starter

Bryan Woo (12-9) · RHP

ERA3.92C+

3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.32

K-BB%19.2%B+

Last 5 starts

vs COL5.1 IP · 3 ER · 4 K

vs ATH6.0 IP · 0 ER · 5 K

vs ATH8.0 IP · 0 ER · 9 K

vs BOS6.0 IP · 1 ER · 7 K

vs PHI4.0 IP · 6 ER · 5 K

Lineup · OPS

1 J. Crawford SS · L.683

2 R. Arozarena LF · R.859

3 D. Canzone DH · L.815

4 C. Raleigh C · S.663

5 J. Rodríguez CF · R.710

6 J. Naylor 1B · L.677

7 C. Young 2B · L.688

8 L. Montes RF · L.742

9 L. Rivas 3B · S.460

Bullpen

IP in 48 h9.3

2 days tracked: Carlos Vargas, José A. Ferrer

The analysis