MLB · 2026-09-24
MIA at CHC
Wrigley Field
FINAL MIA 1 — 2 CHC
What the market says
Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
| Consensus | CHC | MIA | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening | -200 | +174 | 7 (-106) |
| Before the first pitch | -207 | +174 | 7 (-108) |
The price barely moved all day.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Wrigley Field ·
PF -6.0%WX -5.1%UMP Tosi -1.3%
MIA+174
42.0% win
(+138)
3.78EXP
RUNS 4.33
RUNS 4.33
o4.5 33%o4.5 40%
Expected total 8.12
7.0 (-108/-112)
Confirmed
CHC-207
58.0% win
(-138)
MIA ML +5.5%Over 7 +3.9%
ERA · FIP · K-BB
T. Phillips (R)
M. Boyd (L)
3.45B · 4.56C · 9.0%C-
4.06C · 4.3B- · 11.4%C
BP4.25 2 starts
OF97 vs LHP
BP4.02 1 start
OF105 vs RHP
The analysis
No analysis was published for this game
Everything that gets published, right or wrong, stays in the Record.
See the RecordStatistical analysis for informational purposes. Nothing published here guarantees results.
Complete record · The Model · The Market · Plans
Complete record · The Model · The Market · Plans