CY Elite Lab
MLB · 2026-09-24

MIL at PHI

TODAY 5:05 PM CT

What the Market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

ConsensusMILPHITotal
Opening+101-1198 (-105)
Before the first pitch+114-1348 (-103)
MIL dropped 13 points in price. PHI rose 15 points in price.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Citizens Bank Park ·
PF +4.0%WX -7.6%UMP Merzel -0.4%
MIL
MIL+116
49.2% win
(+103)
4.29EXP
RUNS 4.2
o4.5 40%o4.5 39%
Expected total 8.49
7.5 (-120/-100)
Confirmed
PHI
PHI-133
50.8% win
(-103)
MIL ML +2.9%No total edge
ERA · FIP · K-BB
S. Drohan (L)
A. Painter (R)
4.26C · 3.92B- · 15.5%B-
5.59D · 4.69C- · 11.9%C
BP3.51 10.0 IP
OF105 vs RHP
BP3.78 5.4 IP
OF100 vs LHP

The analysis

The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.
See the plans
Statistical analysis for informational purposes. Nothing published here guarantees results.
Complete record · The Model · The Market · Plans