MIL at PHI

Citizens Bank Park

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Citizens Bank Park · 5:05 PM

PF +4.0%WX -7.6%UMP Merzel -0.4%

MIL+116

49.2% win

(+103)

4.29EXP
RUNS 4.2

o4.5 40%o4.5 39%

Expected total 8.49

7.5 (-120/-100)

Confirmed

PHI-133

50.8% win

(-103)

MIL ML +2.9%No total edge

ERA · FIP · K-BB

S. Drohan (L)

A. Painter (R)

4.26C · 3.92B- · 15.5%B-

5.59D · 4.69C- · 11.9%C

BP3.51 10.0 IP

OF105 vs RHP

BP3.78 5.4 IP

OF100 vs LHP

Details ▾

MIL

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C	D	A	B-	B

Starter

Shane Drohan (7-5) · LHP

ERA4.26C

3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.75

K-BB%15.5%B-

Last 5 starts

vs CIN3.2 IP · 5 ER · 4 K

vs CIN4.0 IP · 6 ER · 5 K

vs TEX5.0 IP · 1 ER · 6 K

vs ATL5.0 IP · 2 ER · 5 K

vs LAD5.1 IP · 3 ER · 5 K

Lineup · OPS

1 G. Mitchell CF · L.777

2 B. Turang 2B · L.809

3 W. Contreras DH · R.762

4 J. Bauers 1B · L.883

5 G. Sánchez C · R.771

6 L. Lara RF · S.652

7 C. Pratt SS · R.708

8 S. Frelick LF · L.613

9 J. Ortiz 3B · R.726

Bullpen

IP in 48 h10.0

2 consecutive days: none

PHI

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C	C	C	B	F

Starter

Andrew Painter (3-10) · RHP

ERA5.59D

3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.79

K-BB%11.9%C

Last 5 starts

vs NYM5.1 IP · 4 ER · 7 K

vs ATL5.0 IP · 1 ER · 3 K

vs HOU5.0 IP · 5 ER · 6 K

vs AZ7.0 IP · 0 ER · 6 K

vs LAA6.0 IP · 3 ER · 6 K

Lineup · OPS

1 K. Schwarber DH · L.858

2 T. Turner SS · R.678

3 B. Harper RF · L.867

4 L. Arraez 2B · L.769

5 A. Bohm 1B · R.710

6 B. De La Cruz LF · R.811

7 B. Stott 3B · L.720

8 J. Realmuto C · R.622

9 J. Crawford CF · L.669

Bullpen

IP in 48 h5.4

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis