NYM at TEX
Globe Life Field
FINAL NYM 1 — 3 TEX
What the market says
Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
| Consensus | NYM | TEX | Total |
|---|
| Opening | +112 | -130 | 8 (-115) |
| Before the first pitch | +112 | -130 | 8.5 (+100) |
The total rose 0.5 runs.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Globe Life Field ·
PF -12.0%WXClosedUMPBacchus +1.7%

NYM+112
42.3% win
(+136)
4.04EXP
RUNS
4.6
o4.5 37%o4.5 44%
Expected total 8.64
8.5 (+100/-120)
Confirmed

TEX-130
57.7% win
(-136)
TEX ML +1.2%No total edge
ERA · FIP · K-BB
Z. Thornton (L)
K. Rocker (R)
3.40B+ · 4.43C · 13.2%C+
4.47C · 4.37C · 12.0%C
BP3.59 6.1 IP
OF107 vs LHP
NYMProfile
Starter
Zac Thornton (5-5) · LHP
ERA3.40B+
3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.48
K-BB%13.2%C+
Last 5 starts
vs PHI6.0 IP · 2 ER · 4 K
vs NYY7.0 IP · 2 ER · 4 K
vs SF5.0 IP · 6 ER · 6 K
vs HOU5.0 IP · 2 ER · 5 K
vs MIL6.0 IP · 1 ER · 4 K
Lineup · OPS
1 F. Lindor SS · S.730
2 J. Soto DH · L.920
3 B. Bichette 3B · R.700
4 C. Benge RF · L.758
5 B. Baty 1B · L.690
6 M. Semien 2B · R.625
7 A. Ewing CF · L.706
8 L. Torrens C · R.705
9 N. Morabito LF · R.490
Bullpen
IP in 48 h5.0
2 consecutive days: none
TEXProfile
Starter
Kumar Rocker (5-11) · RHP
ERA4.47C
3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.44
K-BB%12.0%C
Last 5 starts
vs TOR4.1 IP · 1 ER · 2 K
vs AZ4.0 IP · 1 ER · 5 K
vs MIL3.0 IP · 2 ER · 7 K
vs CWS5.2 IP · 2 ER · 8 K
vs WSH5.0 IP · 2 ER · 3 K
Lineup · OPS
1 J. Foscue 2B · R.821
2 C. Seager SS · L.732
3 J. Jung 3B · R.806
4 J. Burger 1B · R.729
5 B. Nimmo RF · L.733
6 W. Langford LF · R.761
7 E. Duran CF · R.747
8 E. Díaz C · R.659
9 D. Jansen DH · R.652
Bullpen
IP in 48 h6.1
2 consecutive days: none
The analysis
No analysis was published for this game
Everything that gets published, right or wrong, stays in the Record.
See the Record