STL at PIT

What the Market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

PNC Park · 11:35 AM

PF +2.0%WX -8.8%UMP Barry +1.4%

STL+137

35.2% win

(+184)

3.48EXP
RUNS 4.67

o4.5 29%o4.5 44%

Expected total 8.15

7.0 (-107/-113)

Confirmed

PIT-162

64.8% win

(-184)

PIT ML +3.0%Over 7 +4.4%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

K. Leahy (R)

P. Skenes (R)

3.65B · 3.81B+ · 15.0%B-

3.91C+ · 3.53A · 21.0%A-

BP4.06 4.4 IP

OF95 vs RHP

BP3.59 8.4 IP

OF104 vs RHP

Details ▾

STL

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B	D	C-	C+	D

Starter

Kyle Leahy (10-5) · RHP

ERA3.65B

3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.42

K-BB%15.0%B-

Last 5 starts

vs WSH3.0 IP · 6 ER · 1 K

vs CWS3.0 IP · 0 ER · 4 K

vs COL2.2 IP · 5 ER · 6 K

vs PIT3.0 IP · 1 ER · 3 K

vs PHI4.0 IP · 0 ER · 4 K

Lineup · OPS

1 J. Wetherholt 2B · L.711

2 I. Herrera C · R.740

3 A. Burleson 1B · L.805

4 J. Walker RF · R.800

5 L. Bernal DH · S.818

6 B. Torres LF · L.648

7 T. Saggese 3B · R.675

8 N. Church CF · L.666

9 M. Winn SS · R.631

Bullpen

IP in 48 h4.4

2 consecutive days: none

PIT

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
D	C-	B-	B+	C-

Starter

Paul Skenes(10-11) · RHP

ERA3.91C+

3-year FIPhis underlying quality2.73

K-BB%21.0%A-

Last 5 starts

vs KC6.0 IP · 5 ER · 7 K

vs CHC7.0 IP · 2 ER · 4 K

vs LAA5.1 IP · 0 ER · 2 K

vs SF4.2 IP · 5 ER · 4 K

vs SD6.0 IP · 0 ER · 4 K

Lineup · OPS

1 O. CruzCF · L.852

2 K. GriffinSS · R.712

3 B. Lowe2B · L.825

4 R. O'HearnDH · L.781

5 N. Gonzales3B · R.752

6 R. SimonRF · S.692

7 S. Horwitz1B · L.719

8 J. Mangum LF · S.701

9 H. Davis C · R.585

Bullpen

IP in 48 h8.4

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis