TB at NYY

Yankee Stadium

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Yankee Stadium · 6:05 PM

PF +2.0%WX -5.8%UMP Jimenez -0.4%

TB+125

44.3% win

(+126)

3.71EXP
RUNS 4.05

o4.5 32%o4.5 37%

Expected total 7.76

6.0 (-105/-114)

Confirmed

NYY-145

55.7% win

(-126)

No ML edgeOver 6 +10.5%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

I. Seymour (L)

C. Schlittler (R)

4.38C · 4.23B- · 22.3%A

1.94A+ · 2.89A · 25.0%A+

BP3.95 8.2 IP

OF104 vs RHP

BP3.5 2 starts

OF103 vs LHP

Details ▾

TB

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
A	D	C-	B-	A

Starter

Ian Seymour (9-7) · LHP

ERA4.38C

3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.89

K-BB%22.3%A

Last 5 starts

vs BOS5.0 IP · 4 ER · 5 K

vs HOU6.0 IP · 2 ER · 10 K

vs TEX3.0 IP · 3 ER · 2 K

vs NYM6.1 IP · 3 ER · 10 K

vs TOR5.0 IP · 3 ER · 8 K

Lineup · OPS

1 Y. Díaz DH · R.802

2 L. Hicks C · L.805

3 J. Caminero 3B · R.883

4 V. Mesa Jr. RF · L.814

5 C. Simpson LF · L.695

6 J. DeLuca CF · R.707

7 R. Palacios 2B · L.698

8 R. Vilade 1B · R.765

9 T. Walls SS · S.602

Bullpen

IP in 48 h8.2

2 consecutive days: none

NYY

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
D	A-	B	B-	A-

Starter

Cam Schlittler (14-6) · RHP

ERA1.94A+

3-year FIPhis underlying quality2.81

K-BB%25.0%A+

Last 5 starts

vs AZ6.0 IP · 1 ER · 6 K

vs NYM6.0 IP · 0 ER · 8 K

vs COL7.0 IP · 1 ER · 10 K

vs LAA8.0 IP · 1 ER · 9 K

vs BOS5.2 IP · 0 ER · 8 K

Lineup · OPS

1 P. Goldschmidt DH · R.769

2 C. Bellinger LF · L.779

3 H. Ramos RF · R.709

4 B. Rice 1B · L.899

5 A. Rosario 3B · R.681

6 G. Lombard Jr. SS · R.683

7 A. Volpe 2B · R.656

8 A. Wells C · L.611

9 J. Caballero CF · R.662

Bullpen

IP in 48 h4.8

2 consecutive days: David Bednar, John Schreiber

The analysis