ATL at MIA

loanDepot park

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

loanDepot park · 6:10 PM

PF +0.0%WXClosed

ATL-124

52.6% win

(-111)

4.36EXP
RUNS 3.96

o4.5 41%o4.5 36%

Expected total 8.32

8.0 (-114/-107)

Projected

MIA+104

47.4% win

(+111)

No ML edgeUnder 8 +0.0%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

TBD

E. Pérez (R)

— · — · —

4.14C · 4.25C+ · 15.1%B-

BP2.98 8.1 IP

OF102 vs RHP

BP4.25 6.5 IP

OF— vs ?HP

Details ▾

ATL

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B-	B-	F	C	B

Bullpen

IP in 48 h8.1

2 consecutive days: none

MIA

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C	C-	C+	B	B-

Starter

Eury Pérez (7-11) · RHP

ERA4.14C

3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.0

K-BB%15.1%B-

Last 5 starts

vs SD4.2 IP · 5 ER · 4 K

vs LAD5.0 IP · 3 ER · 5 K

vs NYM4.0 IP · 5 ER · 5 K

vs KC4.2 IP · 6 ER · 3 K

vs WSH3.0 IP · 5 ER · 5 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h6.5

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis