AZ at SD

What the Market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Petco Park · 8:40 PM

PF -6.0%WX -1.5%

AZ+115

33.2% win

(+201)

2.95EXP
RUNS 4.15

o4.5 22%o4.5 38%

Expected total 7.1

7.5 (-109/-110)

Projected

SD-136

66.8% win

(-201)

SD ML +9.2%Under 7.5 +5.4%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

B. Pfaadt (R)

TBD

3.72B- · 4.09B- · 10.7%C

— · — · —

BP3.55 5.5 IP

OF— vs ?HP

BP2.98 3 games

OF100 vs RHP

Details ▾

AZ

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
A-	C	C	C+	B

Starter

Brandon Pfaadt (7-3) · RHP

ERA3.72B-

3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.92

K-BB%10.7%C

Last 5 starts

vs NYY4.1 IP · 1 ER · 3 K

vs TEX6.2 IP · 6 ER · 7 K

vs HOU6.1 IP · 3 ER · 4 K

vs PHI6.0 IP · 2 ER · 1 K

vs CHC6.2 IP · 4 ER · 3 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h5.5

2 consecutive days: none

SD

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B-	C	B-	A-	C+

Bullpen

IP in 48 h9.3

2 consecutive days: Adrian Morejon, Mason Miller, Yuki Matsui

The analysis