What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Fenway Park ·
PF +6.0%WX -5.2%
CHC-120
46.3% win
(+116)
4.23EXP RUNS4.41
o4.5 39%o4.5 41%
Expected total 8.64
6.5 (-105/-115)
Projected
BOS+102
53.7% win
(-116)
BOS ML +4.2%Over 6.5 +12.7%
ERA · FIP · K-BB
C. Holmes(R)
A. Gamboa(L)
3.25B+ · 3.83B · 9.0%C-
1.16A+ · 3.77 · 9.9%C-
BP4.01 4.4 IP
OF112vs LHP
BP3.32 7.0 IP
OF99vs RHP
CHC
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
B
A
A
B+
B+
Starter
Clay Holmes(6-8) · RHP
ERA3.25B+
3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.7
K-BB%9.0%C-
Last 5 starts
vs CIN5.1 IP · 6 ER · 4 K
vs PIT5.2 IP · 2 ER · 6 K
vs MIA4.1 IP · 8 ER · 2 K
vs MIL6.0 IP · 0 ER · 8 K
vs AZ7.0 IP · 0 ER · 5 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h4.4
2 consecutive days: none
BOS
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
C+
C-
C-
C-
C-
Starter
Alec Gamboa(1-0) · LHP
ERA1.16A+
3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.14
K-BB%9.9%C-
Last 5 starts
vs NYY1.1 IP · 0 ER · 1 K
vs AZ1.1 IP · 0 ER · 1 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h7.0
2 consecutive days: none
The analysis
The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.