CHC at BOS

Fenway Park

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Fenway Park · 12:05 PM

PF +6.0%WX -4.7%UMP Eddings -0.2%

CHC-120

46.6% win

(+115)

4.24EXP
RUNS 4.39

o4.5 39%o4.5 41%

Expected total 8.63

6.5 (-105/-115)

Projected

BOS+102

53.4% win

(-115)

BOS ML +3.9%Over 6.5 +12.6%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

C. Holmes(R)

A. Gamboa(L)

3.25B+ · 3.83B · 9.0%C-

1.16A+ · 3.77 · 9.9%C-

BP4.01 4.4 IP

OF112 vs LHP

BP3.32 7.0 IP

OF99 vs RHP

Details ▾

CHC

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B	A	A	B+	B+

Starter

Clay Holmes(6-8) · RHP

ERA3.25B+

3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.7

K-BB%9.0%C-

Last 5 starts

vs CIN5.1 IP · 6 ER · 4 K

vs PIT5.2 IP · 2 ER · 6 K

vs MIA4.1 IP · 8 ER · 2 K

vs MIL6.0 IP · 0 ER · 8 K

vs AZ7.0 IP · 0 ER · 5 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h4.4

2 consecutive days: none

BOS

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C+	C-	C-	C-	C-

Starter

Alec Gamboa(1-0) · LHP

ERA1.16A+

3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.14

K-BB%9.9%C-

Last 5 starts

vs NYY1.1 IP · 0 ER · 1 K

vs AZ1.1 IP · 0 ER · 1 K

Lineup · OPS

1 R. Anthony LF · L.701

2 M. Gasper C · S.835

3 A. Rutschman DH · S.726

4 W. Abreu RF · L.781

5 C. Durbin 3B · R.717

6 N. Sogard 2B · S.735

7 J. Duran CF · L.629

8 A. Monasterio 1B · R.681

9 I. Kiner-Falefa SS · R.620

Bullpen

IP in 48 h7.0

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis