Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
Consensus
CIN
TOR
Total
Opening
+115
-138
7.5 (-116)
Before the first pitch
+115
-138
7.5 (-116)
The price barely moved all day.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Rogers Centre ·
PF +2.0%WXClosed
CIN+115
34.5% win
(+190)
3.66EXP RUNS5.0
o4.5 32%o4.5 48%
Expected total 8.66
7.5 (-116/-105)
Projected
TOR-138
65.5% win
(-190)
TOR ML +7.5%Over 7.5 +2.0%
ERA · FIP · K-BB
N. Lodolo (L)
TBD
5.04C- · 5.37C · 7.8%D
— · — · —
BP4.27 7.4 IP
OF—vs ?HP
BP3.56 5.3 IP
OF92vs LHP
CIN
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
F
B
B-
C
C
Starter
Nick Lodolo (3-6) · LHP
ERA5.04C-
3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.48
K-BB%7.8%D
Last 5 starts
vs CHC7.0 IP · 3 ER · 1 K
vs LAD7.0 IP · 4 ER · 4 K
vs LAD4.2 IP · 3 ER · 6 K
vs SD6.0 IP · 2 ER · 5 K
vs SF4.0 IP · 4 ER · 5 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h7.4
2 consecutive days: none
TOR
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
A
F
F
C
B-
Bullpen
IP in 48 h5.3
2 consecutive days: none
The analysis
The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.