MLB · 2026-09-25
NYM at WSH
Nationals Park
FINAL NYM 6 — 7 WSH
What the market says
Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
| Consensus | NYM | WSH | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening | -134 | +113 | 8 (-109) |
| Before the first pitch | -134 | +113 | 8 (-109) |
The price barely moved all day.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Nationals Park ·
PF +4.0%WX -5.8%
NYM-134
45.5% win
(+120)
4.44EXP
RUNS 4.7
RUNS 4.7
o4.5 42%o4.5 45%
Expected total 9.14
8.0 (-109/-114)
Projected
WSH+113
54.5% win
(-120)
WSH ML +7.6%Over 8 +3.8%
ERA · FIP · K-BB
TBD
A. Alvarez (L)
— · — · —
3.17B+ · 3.46A- · 13.1%C+
BP4.65 4.3 IP
OF95 vs LHP
BP4.58 6.5 IP
OF— vs ?HP
The analysis
No analysis was published for this game
Everything that gets published, right or wrong, stays in the Record.
See the RecordStatistical analysis for informational purposes. Nothing published here guarantees results.
Complete record · The Model · The Market · Plans
Complete record · The Model · The Market · Plans