Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
Consensus
NYM
WSH
Total
Opening
-134
+113
8 (-109)
Before the first pitch
-134
+113
8 (-109)
The price barely moved all day.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Nationals Park ·
PF +4.0%WX -5.5%
NYM-134
45.5% win
(+120)
4.45EXP RUNS4.72
o4.5 42%o4.5 45%
Expected total 9.17
8.0 (-109/-114)
Projected
WSH+113
54.5% win
(-120)
WSH ML +7.6%Over 8 +4.1%
ERA · FIP · K-BB
TBD
A. Alvarez (L)
— · — · —
3.17B+ · 3.46A- · 13.1%C+
BP4.65 4.3 IP
OF95vs LHP
BP4.58 6.5 IP
OF—vs ?HP
NYM
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
C
C
C
D
C
Bullpen
IP in 48 h4.3
2 consecutive days: none
WSH
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
C
A
C
A
C
Starter
Andrew Alvarez (2-6) · LHP
ERA3.17B+
3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.15
K-BB%13.1%C+
Last 5 starts
vs STL6.0 IP · 0 ER · 8 K
vs LAA7.0 IP · 0 ER · 8 K
vs LAD4.1 IP · 3 ER · 5 K
vs MIA6.0 IP · 0 ER · 6 K
vs COL4.2 IP · 3 ER · 6 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h6.5
2 consecutive days: none
The analysis
The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.