STL at MIL

What the Market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

American Family Field · 6:40 PM

PF -6.0%WXClosed

STL+153

37.2% win

(+169)

3.84EXP
RUNS 4.91

o4.5 34%o4.5 47%

Expected total 8.74

8.0 (-103/-117)

Projected

MIL-180

62.8% win

(-169)

No edge MLOver 8 +1.6%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

M. McGreevy (R)

R. Gasser (L)

3.84B- · 4.28C · 9.9%C-

4.01C+ · 4.32C · 13.5%C+

BP4.03 1 start

OF100 vs LHP

BP3.48 9.4 IP

OF105 vs RHP

Details ▾

STL

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B	F	D	C+	D

Starter

Michael McGreevy (7-9) · RHP

ERA3.84B-

3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.13

K-BB%9.9%C-

Last 5 starts

vs WSH4.0 IP · 2 ER · 1 K

vs CWS6.0 IP · 1 ER · 6 K

vs SF6.2 IP · 2 ER · 4 K

vs LAD5.0 IP · 4 ER · 4 K

vs BAL5.0 IP · 7 ER · 3 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h8.4

2 days in a row: Ryne Stanek

MIL

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C	D	A	B-	B

Starter

Robert Gasser (5-5) · LHP

ERA4.01C+

3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.16

K-BB%13.5%C+

Last 5 starts

vs BAL7.0 IP · 0 ER · 2 K

vs CIN5.0 IP · 1 ER · 5 K

vs CHC4.2 IP · 1 ER · 5 K

vs CHC4.1 IP · 2 ER · 4 K

vs SEA3.2 IP · 4 ER · 4 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h9.4

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis