STL at MIL
American Family Field
FINAL STL 4 — 8 MIL
What the market says
Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
| Consensus | MIL | STL | Total |
|---|
| Opening | -180 | +153 | 8 (-103) |
| Before the first pitch | -180 | +153 | 8 (-103) |
The price barely moved all day.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
American Family Field ·

STL+153
37.2% win
(+169)
3.84EXP
RUNS
4.91
o4.5 34%o4.5 47%
Expected total 8.74
8.0 (-103/-117)
Projected

MIL-180
62.8% win
(-169)
No ML edgeOver 8 +1.6%
ERA · FIP · K-BB
M. McGreevy (R)
R. Gasser (L)
3.84B- · 4.28C · 9.9%C-
4.01C+ · 4.32C · 13.5%C+
BP4.03 1 start
OF100 vs LHP
BP3.48 9.4 IP
OF105 vs RHP
STLProfile
Starter
Michael McGreevy (7-9) · RHP
ERA3.84B-
3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.13
K-BB%9.9%C-
Last 5 starts
vs WSH4.0 IP · 2 ER · 1 K
vs CWS6.0 IP · 1 ER · 6 K
vs SF6.2 IP · 2 ER · 4 K
vs LAD5.0 IP · 4 ER · 4 K
vs BAL5.0 IP · 7 ER · 3 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h8.4
2 days in a row: Ryne Stanek
MILProfile
Starter
Robert Gasser (5-5) · LHP
ERA4.01C+
3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.16
K-BB%13.5%C+
Last 5 starts
vs BAL7.0 IP · 0 ER · 2 K
vs CIN5.0 IP · 1 ER · 5 K
vs CHC4.2 IP · 1 ER · 5 K
vs CHC4.1 IP · 2 ER · 4 K
vs SEA3.2 IP · 4 ER · 4 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h9.4
2 consecutive days: none
The analysis
No analysis was published for this game
Everything that gets published, right or wrong, stays in the Record.
See the Record