TB at PHI

What the Market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Citizens Bank Park · 5:40 PM

PF +4.0%WX -5.8%

TB+141

36.4% win

(+175)

3.23EXP
RUNS 4.21

o4.5 26%o4.5 39%

Expected total 7.44

6.5 (-115/-105)

Projected

PHI-167

63.6% win

(-175)

PHI ML +1.1%Over 6.5 +0.3%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

F. Peralta(R)

C. Sánchez(L)

4.56C · 4.33C+ · 13.0%C

2.93A- · 3.08A · 21.3%A-

BP4.0 2 starts

OF96 vs LHP

BP3.82 5.3 IP

OF98 vs RHP

Details ▾

TB

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
A	D	C-	B-	A

Starter

Freddy Peralta(9-11) · RHP

ERA4.56C

3-year FIPhis underlying quality4.08

K-BB%13.0%C

Last 5 starts

vs BOS5.2 IP · 1 ER · 6 K

vs HOU5.0 IP · 0 ER · 4 K

vs ATL6.0 IP · 1 ER · 2 K

vs NYM6.0 IP · 1 ER · 7 K

vs DET6.0 IP · 0 ER · 4 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h6.4

2 days in a row: Brody Hopkins, Steven Matz

PHI

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C+	C	C	B	F

Starter

Cristopher Sánchez(18-6) · LHP

ERA2.93A-

3-year FIPhis underlying quality2.71

K-BB%21.3%A-

Last 5 starts

vs NYM6.1 IP · 2 ER · 6 K

vs WSH6.1 IP · 5 ER · 5 K

vs HOU6.0 IP · 6 ER · 3 K

vs ATL6.0 IP · 3 ER · 5 K

vs LAA7.0 IP · 0 ER · 8 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h5.3

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis