TEX at MIN

Target Field

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Target Field · 7:10 PM

PF +6.0%WX -4.4%

TEX-111

46.1% win

(+117)

4.04EXP
RUNS 4.22

o4.5 37%o4.5 39%

Expected total 8.26

7.0 (-117/-102)

Projected

MIN-103

53.9% win

(-117)

MIN ML +3.2%Over 7 +3.2%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

J. deGrom (R)

J. Ryan (R)

3.86B- · 3.38B+ · 23.7%A

3.83B- · 3.89B · 20.6%A-

BP3.56 3 games

OF96 vs RHP

BP3.8 3.2 IP

OF102 vs RHP

Details ▾

TEX

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C-	C-	C	C-	C

Starter

Jacob deGrom (11-10) · RHP

ERA3.86B-

3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.3

K-BB%23.7%A

Last 5 starts

vs TOR4.1 IP · 3 ER · 2 K

vs BOS5.0 IP · 2 ER · 8 K

vs SEA6.0 IP · 0 ER · 12 K

vs TB6.0 IP · 2 ER · 7 K

vs ATH7.0 IP · 0 ER · 8 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h6.8

2 consecutive days: Chase Silseth, Jordan Montgomery, Tyler Alexander

MIN

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B-	C+	D	D	C-

Starter

Joe Ryan (6-10) · RHP

ERA3.83B-

3-year FIPhis underlying quality3.63

K-BB%20.6%A-

Last 5 starts

vs LAA5.0 IP · 2 ER · 5 K

vs CLE4.0 IP · 4 ER · 1 K

vs DET4.0 IP · 2 ER · 7 K

vs KC5.1 IP · 4 ER · 3 K

vs KC6.0 IP · 4 ER · 4 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h3.2

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis