Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
Consensus
CHC
SD
Total
Opening
+108
-130
7 (-119)
Before the first pitch
+103
-123
7.5 (-102)
The total rose 0.5 run.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Petco Park ·
PF -6.0%WX -1.4%UMP Jesus -0.6%
CHC+103
35.5% win
(+182)
3.69EXP RUNS4.92
o4.5 32%o4.5 47%
Expected total 8.62
7.5 (-102/-118)
Confirmed
SD-123
64.5% win
(-182)
SD ML +9.3%Over 7.5 +4.9%
ERA · FIP · K-BB
M. Boyd (L)
M. King (R)
3.91C+ · 4.25B- · 11.0%C
3.21B+ · 4.19B- · 11.8%C
BP3.93 8.0 IP
OF105vs RHP
BP2.64 3.0 IP
OF99vs LHP
CHC
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
B
A
A
B+
B+
Starter
Matthew Boyd (10-5) · LHP
ERA3.91C+
FIP 3-Year his underlying quality3.82
K-BB%11.0%C
Last 5 Starts
vs MIA7.0 IP · 1 ER · 3 K
vs CIN5.0 IP · 1 ER · 4 K
vs PIT5.1 IP · 4 ER · 3 K
vs MIL7.0 IP · 3 ER · 7 K
vs MIL5.1 IP · 3 ER · 3 K
Lineup · OPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF · L.942
2 A. Bregman DH · R.819
3 M. Busch 1B · L.745
4 S. Suzuki RF · R.841
5 I. Happ LF · S.738
6 N. Hoerner 2B · R.666
7 P. Ramírez 3B · S.723
8 C. Kelly C · R.712
9 D. Swanson SS · R.694
Bullpen
IP in 48 h8.0
2 consecutive days: none
SD
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
B-
C-
B-
A-
C+
Starter
Michael King (12-10) · RHP
ERA3.21B+
FIP 3-Year his underlying quality3.89
K-BB%11.8%C
Last 5 Starts
vs LAD4.0 IP · 5 ER · 5 K
vs COL6.0 IP · 2 ER · 6 K
vs SF7.0 IP · 3 ER · 4 K
vs NYY6.0 IP · 0 ER · 3 K
vs CIN6.0 IP · 0 ER · 6 K
Lineup · OPS
1 F. Tatis Jr. RF · R.828
2 S. Taylor LF · R.798
3 M. Machado 3B · R.710
4 T. France 1B · R.865
5 J. Merrill CF · L.743
6 A. Hays DH · R.705
7 X. Bogaerts SS · R.676
8 J. Cronenworth 2B · L.629
9 L. Campusano C · R.796
Bullpen
IP in 48 h3.0
2 consecutive days: none
The analysis
The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.