MLB · 2026-09-29
PHI at ATL
FINAL PHI 3 — 5 ATL
What the Market says
Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
| Consensus | PHI | ATL | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening | +155 | -188 | 6.5 (-120) |
| Before the first pitch | +158 | -192 | 6.5 (-121) |
The price barely moved all day.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Truist Park ·
PF +0.0%WX +0.7%UMP Merzel -0.4%
PHI+158
47.9% win
(+109)
3.48EXP
RUNS 3.5
RUNS 3.5
o4.5 29%o4.5 29%
Expected total 6.98
6.5 (-121/+100)
Confirmed
ATL-192
52.1% win
(-109)
PHI ML +9.1%Under 6.5 +0.2%
ERA · FIP · K-BB
J. Luzardo (L)
C. Sale (L)
2.86A- · 3.08A · 23.2%A
2.16A+ · 2.71A+ · 26.1%A+
BP3.78 3.0 IP
OF99 vs LHP
BP2.97 2.1 IP
OF98 vs LHP
The analysis
The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.
See the plansStatistical analysis for informational purposes. Nothing published here guarantees results.
Complete record · The Model · The Market · Plans
Complete record · The Model · The Market · Plans