BOS at NYY

What the Market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Yankee Stadium · 7:00 PM

PF +2.0%WX -4.4%

BOS+113

44.1% win

(+127)

3.6EXP
RUNS 3.94

o4.5 31%o4.5 35%

Expected total 7.53

6.5 (-117/-102)

Projected

NYY-137

55.9% win

(-127)

No edge MLOver 6.5 +0.7%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

S. Gray (R)

M. Fried (L)

2.72A · 3.65B+ · 15.1%B-

2.80A- · 3.09A · 16.4%B

BP3.25 2.4 IP

OF103 vs LHP

BP3.1 2.2 IP

OF99 vs RHP

Detail ▾

BOS

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C+	C-	C-	C-	C

Starter

Sonny Gray (18-5) · RHP

ERA2.72A

FIP 3-Year his underlying quality3.31

K-BB%15.1%B-

Last 5 Starts

vs CLE6.0 IP · 0 ER · 3 K

vs TEX6.1 IP · 3 ER · 6 K

vs KC6.0 IP · 3 ER · 5 K

vs BAL7.0 IP · 0 ER · 7 K

vs MIA5.0 IP · 2 ER · 5 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h2.4

2 consecutive days: none

NYY

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
D	B+	B+	B-	B+

Starter

Max Fried (5-5) · LHP

ERA2.80A-

FIP 3-Year his underlying quality2.96

K-BB%16.4%B

Last 5 Starts

vs TB6.2 IP · 4 ER · 4 K

vs MIN7.0 IP · 1 ER · 6 K

vs COL3.1 IP · 1 ER · 7 K

vs SD5.2 IP · 1 ER · 4 K

vs BOS3.2 IP · 1 ER · 4 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h2.2

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis