CHC at SD

What the Market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Petco Park · 9:00 PM

PF -6.0%WX -3.1%

CHC+114

34.1% win

(+193)

3.12EXP
RUNS 4.3

o4.5 24%o4.5 40%

Expected total 7.43

7.0 (-125/+104)

Projected

SD-137

65.9% win

(-193)

SD ML +8.1%Under 7 +1.7%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

K. Gausman (R)

N. Pivetta (R)

4.51C · 3.87B · 18.3%B+

2.86A- · 3.3B+ · 24.3%A

BP3.93 3.3 IP

OF105 vs RHP

BP2.64 rested

OF100 vs RHP

Detail ▾

CHC

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B	A	A	B+	B+

Starter

Kevin Gausman (9-12) · RHP

ERA4.51C

FIP 3-Year his underlying quality3.62

K-BB%18.3%B+

Last 5 Starts

vs MIA5.2 IP · 2 ER · 7 K

vs ATL5.2 IP · 2 ER · 6 K

vs MIL4.0 IP · 6 ER · 6 K

vs MIL7.0 IP · 1 ER · 9 K

vs CIN5.0 IP · 5 ER · 7 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h3.3

2 consecutive days: none

SD

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B-	C-	B-	A-	C+

Starter

Nick Pivetta (3-2) · RHP

ERA2.86A-

FIP 3-Year his underlying quality3.45

K-BB%24.3%A

Last 5 Starts

vs LAD4.2 IP · 0 ER · 7 K

vs MIA5.0 IP · 1 ER · 4 K

vs SF4.0 IP · 2 ER · 5 K

vs WSH5.0 IP · 0 ER · 2 K

vs COL3.0 IP · 0 ER · 4 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h2.0

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis