MLB · 2026-10-04
SD at MIL
American Family Field
FIRST PITCH 3:00 PM CT
What the market says
Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
| Consensus | MIL | SD | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening | -141 | +120 | 7 (-114) |
| Before the first pitch | -141 | +120 | 7 (-114) |
The price barely moved all day.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
American Family Field ·
PF -6.0%WX Closed
SD+120
42.1% win
(+138)
3.55EXP
RUNS 4.06
RUNS 4.06
o4.5 30%o4.5 37%
Expected total 7.61
7.0 (-114/-105)
Projected
MIL-141
57.9% win
(-138)
No ML edgeNo total edge
ERA · FIP · K-BB
M. King (R)
L. Henderson (R)
3.21B+ · 4.19B- · 11.8%C
2.47A+ · 3.61B+ · 24.5%A
BP2.64 5.1 IP
OF100 vs RHP
BP3.43 3.6 IP
OF105 vs RHP
The analysis
The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.
See the plansStatistical analysis for informational purposes. Nothing published here guarantees results.
Complete record · The Model · The Market · Plans
Complete record · The Model · The Market · Plans