Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.
Consensus
CWS
CLE
Total
Opening
+131
-154
6.5 (-115)
Before the first pitch
+131
-154
6.5 (-115)
The price barely moved all day.
What the Model sees
What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.
Progressive Field ·
PF -2.0%WX -9.8%
CWS+131
39.7% win
(+152)
3.47EXP RUNS4.19
o4.5 29%o4.5 38%
Expected total 7.66
6.5 (-115/-105)
Projected
CLE-154
60.3% win
(-152)
No ML edgeOver 6.5 +2.2%
ERA · FIP · K-BB
A. Kay (L)
G. Williams (R)
4.44C · 4.68C- · 10.3%C-
3.76B- · 3.64B- · 25.1%A+
BP3.5 5.4 IP
OF99vs RHP
BP3.27 3.5 IP
OF95vs LHP
CWS
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
D
B+
B
D
C+
Starter
Anthony Kay(10-9) · LHP
ERA4.44C
3-year FIP his underlying quality4.73
K-BB%10.3%C-
Last 5 starts
vs COL5.0 IP · 1 ER · 4 K
vs KC4.0 IP · 4 ER · 4 K
vs CLE4.0 IP · 0 ER · 3 K
vs STL4.0 IP · 3 ER · 2 K
vs MIN4.1 IP · 5 ER · 3 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h5.4
2 consecutive days: none
CLE
Profile
CON
POW
EYE
BSR
DEF
B+
D
B
A
C-
Starter
Gavin Williams(14-8) · RHP
ERA3.76B-
3-year FIP his underlying quality3.79
K-BB%25.1%A+
Last 5 starts
vs KC3.1 IP · 4 ER · 4 K
vs ATH7.0 IP · 0 ER · 9 K
vs CWS5.0 IP · 2 ER · 7 K
vs DET6.0 IP · 2 ER · 11 K
vs TOR7.0 IP · 0 ER · 13 K
Bullpen
IP in 48 h3.5
2 consecutive days: none
The analysis
The analysis of this game opens when it ends
Everything above —the park, the weather, the umpire, the starters, the bullpen and what the Model projects— is free and complete. The signal and its minimum price, while the game can be played, are part of the paid plan.