MIL at SD

Petco Park

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Petco Park · 8:30 PM

PF -6.0%WX +3.2%

MIL+116

38.7% win

(+158)

3.42EXP
RUNS 4.23

o4.5 28%o4.5 39%

Expected total 7.64

7.0 (-119/+100)

Projected

SD-134

61.3% win

(-158)

SD ML +4.0%No total edge

ERA · FIP · K-BB

D. May (R)

N. Pivetta (R)

4.70C- · 3.79C+ · 15.1%B-

2.86A- · 3.3B+ · 24.3%A

BP3.43 3.3 IP

OF105 vs RHP

BP2.64 2.5 IP

OF100 vs RHP

Detail ▾

MIL

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C	D	A	B-	B

Starter

Dustin May (7-9) · RHP

ERA4.70C-

3-year FIP his underlying quality4.12

K-BB%15.1%B-

Last 5 starts

vs STL3.0 IP · 2 ER · 5 K

vs PHI2.0 IP · 2 ER · 2 K

vs BAL2.1 IP · 3 ER · 4 K

vs CIN6.0 IP · 0 ER · 6 K

vs CIN3.2 IP · 2 ER · 5 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h3.3

2 consecutive days: none

SD

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B-	C-	B-	A-	C+

Starter

Nick Pivetta (3-2) · RHP

ERA2.86A-

3-year FIP his underlying quality3.45

K-BB%24.3%A

Last 5 starts

vs LAD4.2 IP · 0 ER · 7 K

vs MIA5.0 IP · 1 ER · 4 K

vs SF4.0 IP · 2 ER · 5 K

vs WSH5.0 IP · 0 ER · 2 K

vs COL3.0 IP · 0 ER · 4 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h2.5

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis