TB at NYY

Yankee Stadium

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Yankee Stadium · 7:00 PM

PF +2.0%WX -8.9%

TB+140

38.0% win

(+163)

3.36EXP
RUNS 4.23

o3.5 43%o3.5 55%

Expected total 7.59

7.0 (-120/+100)

Projected

NYY-163

62.0% win

(-163)

NYY ML +0.0%No total edge

ERA · FIP · K-BB

N. Martinez (R)

M. Fried (L)

3.10B+ · 4.05B- · 11.5%C

2.80A- · 3.09A · 16.4%B

BP3.56 4.1 IP

OF95 vs LHP

BP3.09 2.5 IP

OF99 vs RHP

Detail ▾

TB

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
A	D	C-	B-	A

Starter

Nick Martinez(15-6) · RHP

ERA3.10B+

3-year FIP his underlying quality3.88

K-BB%11.5%C

Last 5 starts

vs PHI2.2 IP · 4 ER · 1 K

vs NYY6.0 IP · 2 ER · 7 K

vs ATH5.0 IP · 2 ER · 3 K

vs ATL6.1 IP · 0 ER · 3 K

vs TEX6.1 IP · 3 ER · 4 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h4.1

2 consecutive days: none

NYY

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
D	B+	B+	B-	A-

Starter

Max Fried (5-5) · LHP

ERA2.80A-

3-year FIP his underlying quality2.96

K-BB%16.4%B

Last 5 starts

vs TB6.2 IP · 4 ER · 4 K

vs MIN7.0 IP · 1 ER · 6 K

vs COL3.1 IP · 1 ER · 7 K

vs SD5.2 IP · 1 ER · 4 K

vs BOS3.2 IP · 1 ER · 4 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h2.5

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis