MIL at LAD

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · 7:00 PM

PF +2.0%WX +2.3%

MIL+150

38.5% win

(+160)

3.78EXP
RUNS 4.69

o3.5 49%o4.5 47%

Expected total 8.47

7.5 (-103/-118)

Projected

LAD-177

61.5% win

(-160)

No ML edgeOver 7.5 +3.4%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

R. Gasser (L)

B. Snell (L)

3.87B- · 4.26C+ · 14.7%B-

1.90A+ · 2.94A+ · 22.5%A

BP3.43 4.3 IP

OF99 vs LHP

BP3.2 3.7 IP

OF106 vs LHP

Details ▾

MIL

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C	D	A	B-	B

Starter

Robert Gasser (5-5) · LHP

ERA3.87B-

3-year FIP his underlying quality4.09

K-BB%14.7%B-

Last 5 starts

vs STL6.0 IP · 1 ER · 9 K

vs BAL7.0 IP · 0 ER · 2 K

vs CIN5.0 IP · 1 ER · 5 K

vs CHC4.2 IP · 1 ER · 5 K

vs CHC4.1 IP · 2 ER · 4 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h4.3

2 consecutive days: none

LAD

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B+	B	A-	C-	A

Starter

Blake Snell(4-1) · LHP

ERA1.90A+

3-year FIP his underlying quality2.25

K-BB%22.5%A

Last 5 starts

vs SF4.0 IP · 1 ER · 3 K

vs CIN1.0 IP · 0 ER · 1 K

vs MIA5.2 IP · 1 ER · 8 K

vs WSH6.0 IP · 0 ER · 7 K

vs DET5.0 IP · 1 ER · 10 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h3.7

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis