TB at CLE

Progressive Field

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Progressive Field · 7:00 PM

PF -2.0%WX -12.0%UMP Ripperger +0.1%

TB-113

45.0% win

(+122)

3.68EXP
RUNS 3.95

o3.5 48%o2.5 67%

Expected total 7.62

6.5 (-109/-110)

Confirmed

CLE-104

55.0% win

(-122)

CLE ML +4.0%Over 6.5 +3.2%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

N. Martinez (R)

S. Armstrong (R)

3.10B+ · 4.05B- · 11.5%C

4.58C · 4.33B · 9.7%C-

BP3.51 4.0 IP

OF104 vs RHP

BP3.27 3.3 IP

OF98 vs RHP

Details ▾

TB

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
A	D	C-	B-	A

Starter

Nick Martinez(15-6) · RHP

ERA3.10B+

3-year FIP his underlying quality3.88

K-BB%11.5%C

Last 5 starts

vs PHI2.2 IP · 4 ER · 1 K

vs NYY6.0 IP · 2 ER · 7 K

vs ATH5.0 IP · 2 ER · 3 K

vs ATL6.1 IP · 0 ER · 3 K

vs TEX6.1 IP · 3 ER · 4 K

Lineup · OPS

1 Y. Díaz DH · R.805

2 J. Aranda 1B · L.792

3 C. Simpson LF · L.689

4 J. Caminero 3B · R.884

5 L. Hicks C · L.801

6 V. Mesa Jr. RF · L.825

7 J. DeLuca CF · R.729

8 R. Palacios 2B · L.704

9 T. Walls SS · S.607

Bullpen

IP in 48 h4.0

2 consecutive days: none

CLE

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B+	D	B	A	C-

Starter

Shawn Armstrong (2-1) · RHP

ERA4.58C

3-year FIP his underlying quality3.51

K-BB%9.7%C-

Lineup · OPS

1 S. Kwan LF · L.731

2 J. Ramírez 3B · S.688

3 C. DeLauter RF · L.820

4 J. Adell DH · R.699

5 N. Lowe 1B · L.761

6 T. Bazzana 2B · L.743

7 P. Bailey C · S.607

8 P. Halpin CF · L.594

9 B. Rocchio SS · S.704

Bullpen

IP in 48 h3.3

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis