TB at CLE

Progressive Field

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Progressive Field · 7:08 PM

PF -2.0%WX -10.4%

TB-112

43.7% win

(+129)

3.58EXP
RUNS 3.96

o3.5 46%o2.5 67%

Expected total 7.54

6.5 (-110/-110)

Projected

CLE-104

56.3% win

(-129)

CLE ML +5.3%Over 6.5 +2.3%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

N. Martinez (R)

S. Armstrong (R)

3.10B+ · 4.05B- · 11.5%C

4.58C · 4.33B · 9.7%C-

BP3.51 4.0 IP

OF104 vs RHP

BP3.27 3.3 IP

OF98 vs RHP

Details ▾

TB

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
A	D	C-	B-	A

Starter

Nick Martinez(15-6) · RHP

ERA3.10B+

3-year FIP his underlying quality3.88

K-BB%11.5%C

Last 5 starts

vs PHI2.2 IP · 4 ER · 1 K

vs NYY6.0 IP · 2 ER · 7 K

vs ATH5.0 IP · 2 ER · 3 K

vs ATL6.1 IP · 0 ER · 3 K

vs TEX6.1 IP · 3 ER · 4 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h4.0

2 consecutive days: none

CLE

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B+	D	B	A	C-

Starter

Shawn Armstrong (2-1) · RHP

ERA4.58C

3-year FIP his underlying quality3.51

K-BB%9.7%C-

Bullpen

IP in 48 h3.3

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis