TB at CLE

Progressive Field

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

Progressive Field · 4:08 PM

PF -2.0%WX -5.2%

TB-132

47.0% win

(+113)

3.44EXP
RUNS 3.53

o3.5 44%o2.5 62%

Expected total 6.97

6.5 (-102/-119)

Projected

CLE+115

53.0% win

(-113)

CLE ML +6.5%No total edge

ERA · FIP · K-BB

D. Rasmussen (R)

P. Messick (L)

2.67A · 3.12A- · 21.2%A-

2.56A · 3.31A- · 19.3%B+

BP3.51 2.5 IP

OF95 vs LHP

BP3.27 6.6 IP

OF98 vs RHP

Details ▾

TB

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
A	D	C-	B-	A

Starter

Drew Rasmussen (16-5) · RHP

ERA2.67A

3-year FIP his underlying quality3.09

K-BB%21.2%A-

Last 5 starts

vs NYY6.2 IP · 1 ER · 11 K

vs ATH5.0 IP · 0 ER · 3 K

vs HOU7.0 IP · 1 ER · 4 K

vs TEX7.0 IP · 1 ER · 7 K

vs SD6.0 IP · 2 ER · 6 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h2.5

2 consecutive days: none

CLE

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
B+	D	B	A	C-

Starter

Parker Messick (12-9) · LHP

ERA2.56A

3-year FIP his underlying quality3.03

K-BB%19.3%B+

Last 5 starts

vs KC3.0 IP · 1 ER · 2 K

vs BOS5.0 IP · 1 ER · 5 K

vs CWS6.0 IP · 3 ER · 8 K

vs MIN5.1 IP · 1 ER · 5 K

vs DET6.0 IP · 3 ER · 12 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h6.6

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis