TB at MIL

American Family Field

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

American Family Field · 7:00 PM

PF -6.0%WX Closed

TB+162

32.4% win

(+209)

3.12EXP
RUNS 4.48

o2.5 56%o3.5 58%

Expected total 7.6

6.5 (-113/-107)

Projected

MIL-190

67.6% win

(-209)

MIL ML +2.1%Over 6.5 +2.1%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

N. Martinez (R)

J. Misiorowski (R)

3.10B+ · 4.05B- · 11.5%C

1.80A+ · 2.59A+ · 31.3%A+

BP3.51

OF104 vs RHP

BP3.43

OF105 vs RHP

Details ▾

TB

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
A	D	C-	B-	A

Starter

Nick Martinez(15-6) · RHP

ERA3.10B+

3-year FIP his underlying quality3.88

K-BB%11.5%C

Last 5 starts

vs PHI2.2 IP · 4 ER · 1 K

vs NYY6.0 IP · 2 ER · 7 K

vs ATH5.0 IP · 2 ER · 3 K

vs ATL6.1 IP · 0 ER · 3 K

vs TEX6.1 IP · 3 ER · 4 K

MIL

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C	D	A	B-	B

Starter

Jacob Misiorowski(16-5) · RHP

ERA1.80A+

3-year FIP his underlying quality2.47

K-BB%31.3%A+

Last 5 starts

vs STL5.1 IP · 0 ER · 5 K

vs BAL3.0 IP · 0 ER · 4 K

vs PIT5.0 IP · 0 ER · 7 K

vs CHC6.1 IP · 1 ER · 9 K

vs CHC4.0 IP · 5 ER · 5 K

The analysis