TB at MIL

American Family Field

What the market says

Where the consensus price opened and where it stood before the first pitch.

What the Model sees

What the Model calculates for this game: the park, the weather, the umpire, both starting pitchers, the bullpen and expected runs.

American Family Field · 7:00 PM

PF -6.0%WX Closed

TB+104

44.6% win

(+124)

3.56EXP
RUNS 3.85

o2.5 62%o3.5 50%

Expected total 7.4

6.5 (-110/-110)

Projected

MIL-122

55.4% win

(-124)

MIL ML +0.4%Over 6.5 +1.1%

ERA · FIP · K-BB

D. Rasmussen (R)

L. Henderson (R)

2.67A · 3.12A- · 21.2%A-

2.47A+ · 3.61B+ · 24.5%A

BP3.56 rested

OF104 vs RHP

BP3.36 3.3 IP

OF105 vs RHP

Details ▾

TB

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
A	D	C-	B-	A

Starter

Drew Rasmussen (16-5) · RHP

ERA2.67A

3-year FIP his underlying quality3.09

K-BB%21.2%A-

Last 5 starts

vs NYY6.2 IP · 1 ER · 11 K

vs ATH5.0 IP · 0 ER · 3 K

vs HOU7.0 IP · 1 ER · 4 K

vs TEX7.0 IP · 1 ER · 7 K

vs SD6.0 IP · 2 ER · 6 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h1.6

2 consecutive days: none

MIL

Profile

CON	POW	EYE	BSR	DEF
C	D	A	B-	B

Starter

Logan Henderson (11-3) · RHP

ERA2.47A+

3-year FIP his underlying quality3.24

K-BB%24.5%A

Last 5 starts

vs PHI5.0 IP · 1 ER · 3 K

vs PIT5.0 IP · 3 ER · 8 K

vs CHC5.0 IP · 0 ER · 6 K

vs CHC7.0 IP · 2 ER · 7 K

vs TEX7.0 IP · 1 ER · 7 K

Bullpen

IP in 48 h3.3

2 consecutive days: none

The analysis